Recent on-ground assessments in Pakistan indicate a shift in the political landscape as former Prime Minister Imran Khan and the PTI maintain nationwide popularity, while the PML-N gains ground in Punjab. The popularity gap between the PTI and PML-N in Punjab has reduced from 15% to around 5%, signaling closer competition in the province. Nationally, the PTI maintains a significant lead over the PML-N.
The PTI’s present popularity exceeds its 2018 levels, while the PML-N’s popularity remains below its 2018 standing. The return of PML-N leader Nawaz Sharif from self-exile is seen as a factor contributing to the party’s improved standing in Punjab. With the general elections scheduled for February 8, the next few weeks are crucial for political parties to sway voters.